
A senior Russian security official is warning that U.S. actions in Iran risk triggering a wider and potentially nuclear conflict in the Middle East, placing direct blame on policy decisions under President Donald Trump.
Dmitry Medvedev, a close ally of Vladimir Putin and former president himself, said recent U.S. moves have sharply increased the likelihood of escalation. Speaking amid rising regional tensions, Medvedev characterized Washington’s posture as destabilizing and warned it could prompt additional actors to seek nuclear capabilities.
He said the risk of a broader war has grown due to what he described as an “unprovoked, extremely dangerous war that the United States has started.” Medvedev added that countries in the Gulf could respond by pursuing their own “nuclear shield,” raising the prospect of a cascading arms race.
“Probably the biggest war in the Middle East could still be ahead,” Medvedev stated. “And then the Middle East will turn into a long-term… hotbed of instability, which could continue there for centuries.”
Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian oil infrastructure along the Baltic Sea are beginning to constrain Moscow’s ability to benefit from a surge in global crude prices, according to Bloomberg. The attacks have disrupted export capacity and reduced potential revenue from oil sales, even as tensions tied to the Iran conflict tighten global supply and push prices higher.
Medvedev also cautioned investors and energy stakeholders to reassess their exposure to the region, as uncertainty deepens. His remarks come amid ongoing allegations—denied by Moscow—that Russia has provided Iran with military support, including drones and targeting intelligence.
He further accused the United States and Israel of acting recklessly. “From a prosperous region, as a result of this behaviour of the United States together with Israel, which behaved like a bull in a china shop, something irreparable could happen,” he said. “I think this is the price of a gross mistake, a strategic mistake of the White House.”
Drawing a historical parallel, Medvedev warned that a large-scale U.S. ground operation in Iran could produce prolonged and costly consequences. “The consequences will be fatal – for all participants because getting involved in such a ground operation at a great distance from the very same United States of America, threatens with approximately the same consequences as what happened in Vietnam, when Washington got involved in a foreign country, located a thousand miles away, and for 10 years could not find a decent way out of this conflict.”
He added that the United States now faces “a very difficult situation here,” particularly in light of Iranian warnings that its “hands will be untied” in response to further military action.
The comments follow recent U.S. strikes on Iranian targets and come despite earlier indications that the Trump administration had explored de-escalatory measures, including a temporary pause in additional operations after diplomatic talks.
34.1 million people could die, and another 57.4 million could be injured, within the first few hours of the start of a nuclear war between Russia and the United States triggered by one low-yield nuclear weapon, according to a new simulation by researcher’s at Princeton‘s Science and Global Security program.
Medvedev’s remarks underscore Moscow’s increasingly sharp rhetorical opposition to U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict, as global powers monitor the situation for signs of further escalation.
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